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RBA Cash Rate Mar 2024 | Are We Facing Challenges with Sticky Inflation?

Welcome to the second RBA Rate Release of 2024!

Once again, our esteemed independent economist Evan Lucas and affable host, Ben Kingsley, reunite to decipher the latest economic trends and data in this month’s episode.

In this instalment, we embark on a journey into the realm of economics – endeavouring to unravel its rich tapestry and better understand its implications. Here’s a glimpse into the topics Ben & Evan will cover:

📈 Sticky Inflation in the US: We delve into inflation and its tenacity within the US economy, exploring its implications for consumers and businesses alike.

📊 Deep Dive into December GDP Quarter Numbers: We take a close look at the recently released GDP quarter numbers for the Australian market, seeking to glean insights into the underlying economic dynamics.

🏦 Bank of Japan’s Interest Rate Decision: Venture with us into the East as we explore the deliberations of the Bank of Japan regarding a potential rate “hike” after over 15 years, and its potential ripple effects on the global economic landscape.

🇦🇺 Australian Economic Outlook and Predictions: We offer our perspectives on the prevailing economic conditions in Australia and the conundrum faced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as it navigates through uncertain waters.

💡 Monetary Policy and its Limitations: We discuss the effectiveness of monetary policy as the sole tool for managing inflation, considering interest rate movements only impacts one-third of the Australian population.

Join us as we embark on this quest to demystify the complexities of the economic realm and provide clarity amidst the fog of uncertainty. Now, let’s delve into this month’s update!

 

 

PSA: If it’s been some time since you last took a look at your home loan, it might be time to hit up your Mortgage Broker and get a review sorted.

If you’re on the lookout for a savvy Mortgage Broker, our award-winning sister company Empower Wealth, has you covered! Our expert team can give your current mortgage a once-over – just fill in the form below to book your free consultation.












March Monthly Recap

Episodes

Ep 484 | Cracking the Code: Mastering the 60% Land to Asset Ratio

Kicking off our first Q&A session for 2024, we’re diving into the widespread economic and political factors that have become “the perfect recipe” for today’s housing crisis, dissect how to master the 60% of land-to-asset ratios and more!

484 - Cracking the Code: Mastering the 60% Land to Asset Ratio


485 | Must the Plane Have Landed BEFORE I Retire?

Is 64 too old to be starting a property portfolio?
Must your investment property be fully funded by the time one retires?
And why does investing with intention matter – even after you’ve acquired 5 properties?

In today’s Q&A we’re answering these fantastic questions that explore the many layers folks should consider BEFORE they choose to enter or exit the property game.

486 | “Stuff This!”: How to Tackle Financial Anxiety


Ep 486 | “Stuff This!”: How to Tackle Financial Anxiety

We’ve all experienced the gut-wrenching anxiety that comes with property investing, and it’s a natural response considering the large sums of money and extensive time involved.

But what happens when it becomes an overwhelming feeling that wakes you up at 2am?

Folks, this is just one of the REAL stories from today’s honest and inspirational Case Study episode.

486 - Tackle financial anxiety


Bonus Episodes!

Exploring “Scarcity” in Property Investment

Note: This episode is a re-run of one of our older episodes. It originally aired on 12th November 2015 😊

In this episode, we explore why the old adage of ‘location, location, location’ still rings true for property investment. We explore how 80% of your return is determined by where you buy and only 20% by what you buy.


Redefining Debt: The Game Changing Strategy You Need to Hear

In this week’s episode, Bryce makes a guest appearance on the Wealth Time Freedom (WTF) podcast, hosted by Terry Condon!   

They cover a wide range of topics including:
        💵 Horrible, tolerable and productive debt
        🏘️ How to pick an investment grade property
        👩‍👦‍👦 Demographic shifts that are likely to impact property prices over the next 5-10 years 

This bonus episode is all about the courage to pursue passion over expectations, cultivate financial resilience, and play the long game of property investment! 

Redefining debt


Free Stuff…

Property Suburb Report 

Learn how your suburb has performed and its changing community and properties. ‘Cos it’s our birthday month, we’re also giving it away for free!

Free Property Report


Corelogic’s Women in Property Report 

As Australians increasingly engage in conversations around gender equality, CoreLogic adds a new dimension to the debate – the issue of gender equity in property ownership. This year, they’ve also updated their survey methodology to offer new insights into the differences between genders in motivations, attitudes and barriers to getting on the property ladder.

CoreLogic Women and Property 2024


RBA Cash Rate Mar 2024 | Are We Facing Challenges with Sticky Inflation?

Welcome to the second RBA Rate Release of 2024!

Once again, our esteemed economist Evan Lucas and affable host, Ben Kingsley, reunite to decipher the latest economic trends and data in this month’s episode.

In this instalment, Ben & Evan covers sticky inflation in the US, dive deep into the December GDP Quarter Numbers, uncover the Bank of Japan’s Interest Rate Decision, and much more.

RBA March 2024


MOORR Webinar Replay: Best Tools for the Job – What to Use When?

Within Moorr, our money management platform, there are currently over 25 features and tools, providing more than 100 different insights!

We recently hosted a webinar covering the best tools for the job and revealed how all your data comes together to give you meaningful insights through our “track your progress” approach to money management.

Webinar Replay | Moorr’s Best Tools for the Job: What to Use When


Check out our other platforms for more free content:

Youtube >> 

Instagram >>

Facebook >>

 

461 | Why AI, Office Culture and Medium Density has the Power to Revolutionise Australia’s Property Market! – Chat with Simon Kuestenmacher

What will a post-covid-Australia world look like? 🌎

What trends can be predicted with Australia’s greatest migration in history currently ongoing? And yet, why is today’s skill shortage here to stay?

Meanwhile, in property, why do we think we’re headed towards the roaring 30s and 40s?

 

Folks this is just a SNIPPET of the questions we’re asking our favourite German-accented data expert. Can you guess who it is?? 😉

Returning to The Property Couch after over 100 episodes is our favourite data demographic diver, Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder of The Demographics Group!

(And if you didn’t know, The Demographics Group is led by Bernard Salt, one of Australia’s most sought-after social commentators! Simon not only works with this legend but is a rising star globally himself, renowned in the field of data management and insight.)

In this episode, we’re covering TONS of ground from Australia’s superpower (and how it’s changed throughout COVID) to the ONE THING we’re not willing to compromise on with property.

Plus, if you want to discover how intergenerational wealth and the commuter belt are highly interrelated or why office culture matters to property, tune into today’s insightful and motivational episode now! 😊

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

Listen to the episodes mentioned today!

(NOT FREE) Check out Simon’s new book which comes out in October! Transform the way you see and understand storytelling through Marvellous Maps!

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – The incoming data dump!
  • 4:07 Mindset Minute – The 7 Disciplines you should focus our energies on
  • 11:25 – Welcome back, Simon!
  • 12:25 – What happened last time Simon was on the couch…
  • 14:50 – The RBA is fighting an uphill battle  
  • 19:07 – Here’s what the RBA SHOULD be doing!
  • 22:21 – Did the RBA make the right decision? (+ what we’re seeing now)
  • 25:36 – Australia & The Tyranny of Distance
  • 27:31 – The highest net migration in history?!
  • 30:05 – Where we are headed in the next 65 years
  • 34:07 – The Missing Middle
  • 35:55 – Human behaviour and the power of Medium Density
  • 42:14 – The skill shortage is here to stay…
  • 43:47 – Australians are NOT willing to compromise on this 🤪
  • 47:19 – How has home ownership changed over the years?
  • 52:41 – Why unemployment and AI is actually good?!
  • 54:46 – How office culture impacts the demand for property
  • 1:04:25 – The link between the commuter belt & intergenerational wealth transfer
  • 1:05:16 – The Wealth-on-Wealth Effect
  • 1:10:55 – Future trends & embracing change
  • 1:14:22 – Simon’s Marvellous Maps!
  • 1:15:57 – What can we expect from the 2030s?

And…

  • 1:21:10 – Phew! Thank you Simon
  • 1:26:55 Lifehack: Demographics gives you an edge. Here’s how you can find out more!
  • 1:28:47 What’s Making Property News? The thousands of millions of dollars coming through…

 

 

459 | How Can We Solve Australia’s Growing Demand for Property? – Chat with Paul Ryan

 

 

As new property listings surge higher and the housing market continues to recover post-COVID, how can we solve Australia’s growing demand for property in the capital cities?

Here to help us tackle this giant question that pierces the heart of one of Australia’s biggest upcoming issues, we’re introducing an exceptional, first-time guest to the show…

Welcome Paul Ryan, REA Economist and Specialist in Housing Finance, Market Forecasting and Big Data Analysis! Before joining REA in late 2020, Paul spent a decade at the Reserve Bank of Australia conducting research on the Australian economy, focusing on housing markets, lending risks and regulatory effects on property markets.

Today, we’ll use his vast knowledge and incontestable passion for Macro and Microeconomics to explain how and why property investors act the way we do!

From exploring why we are moving houses less as a nation to unpacking how this upcoming period is an interesting one for property investors, we’re examining the policies that dictate our actions, and the intriguing behavioural patterns and beliefs that have emerged as a result.

Thank you to Paul for sharing so much of your time, wisdom and valuable insights, we can’t wait to have you back on the couch!

Seriously, give it a listen now folks 😊🌌✨

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – The incoming gold
  • 04:41 – Folks, we don’t always get it right!
  • 15:32 – Mindset Minute: “All success is simply relative to somebody else”
  • 21:23 – Welcome Paul Ryan!
  • 23:05 – Money Backstory: Shares, vets & extreme delayed gratification
  • 24:00 – From science to economics
  • 29:11 – The transition from Macro to Microeconomic insights
  • 29:55 – An insider’s look into working at the RBA!
  • 34:24 – Is the housing market a huge risk?
  • 36:29 – Do people really move around less than they used to?
  • 38:02 – So…why does the RBA care about economic activity?
  • 40:25 – Bank Lending: Why is there a higher risk for Owner Occupiers?
  • 42:15 – Why Stamp Duty is important in Australia!
  • 43:05 – Does the theory translate?
  • 43:59 – The banks won’t run THIS equation 😉
  • 46:15 – Australia vs. International Housing Markets: Anomalies & Debt Levels
  • 48:30: Is it bad for households or renters to have their home owned by another household?
  • 51:15: What’s happened to the property market since the start of 2023?
  • 52:28 – Why it’s an interesting time for property!
  • 54:50 – Are the prices of property really growing?
  • 56:40 – And what about investor activity?
  • 58:31 – Regional Markets since the Pandemic: Where does the commuter belt stretch to?
  • 1:03:30 – The Intrinsic Value of Property
  • 1:03:23 – Why property growth is like…g_a_i_ _?!
  • 1:05:30 –“Homes are not being built where people want to live”
  • 1:06:15 -The fascinating linking between data & people!
  • 1:07:45 – How do we build more homes in our cities?
  • 1:13:40 – The next wave of data allowing us to understand property investors 😮
  • 1:13:58 – Interest Rate Outlook: Are we close to the top of rates?
  • 1:15:40 – Paul’s Perspective: What should APRA’s role REALLY be with the Buffer Rate!?

And…

  • 1:21:13 – Lifehack: Did you know you can share a YouTube Link that starts at a specific time?! Here’s how…
  • 1:22:54 – WMPN: You’ve got 2 months to object to your land valuation!

 

RBA Cash Rate July 2023: The Close Rate Call

 

Note: If you’re a regular listener of Ben’s RBA releases, you may have noticed that this update is relatively concise. We’ve mentioned on the podcast that Ben won’t be providing a detailed economic breakdown for this release due to personal reasons. However, rest assured that we will resume our regular programming for the August 2023 release. 😊

Before delving into this month’s RBA Release, it is crucial to acknowledge the current climate of uncertainty, which has led some Australians to make rash decisions relating to their finances. We have seen some members of our community considering delaying their wedding plans, selling their cars, and even selling their properties.

While some of those decisions are well-considered, we are concerned that others might be jumping the gun a bit too soon.

There is no doubt that the stress level when it comes to money is at an all-time high, and we are seeing a similar trend of uncertainty, like at the start of COVID. Back then, to help our community better understand their cash flow, we built this tool called MoneySTRETCH, which lets you know how long your money will last if there’s a change in your circumstances. It really helped our community then.

 

What is MoneySTRETCH?

In a nutshell, this tool lets you know how long your money will last if there’s a change in your circumstances.

For example, if interest rates go 2% or 3% higher, you can enter the expected repayment value to see the impact on your current and future financial position – down to the exact cent and month! Can you last another 36 months at your current spending level if interest rates are at 9% as another example.

And yes, it can pretty much cater to other questions such as:

Can I even afford anything anymore? Should I take up a second job? Should I start a family this year? Maybe I should push back our wedding. Should I quit this job that I love and get a higher-paying job? Do I have to sell off my car? Should I sell off my property?

Now that we are facing another round of uncertainty, we thought we would share this tool with a wider community and hopefully help others in making better and more informed financial decisions.

If you would like to know more, click here to find out how Money Stretch can empower you to make more informed financial decisions.

 

Free Mortgage Review

Alternatively, if you would like to book a free and no-obligation consultation with us to review your finances and potentially, chase down a better deal and save more interest, simply fill in the form below to get in touch for a Free Mortgage Review.

Or Click here to learn more about our mortgage team.

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Now, let’s get into the RBA announcement.

 

Transcript:

Ben Kingsley here with an important message for all of us mortgage holders.

Today the RBA board met and they kept the cash rate on hold at 4.10%. Now that said, inflation is still a little bit of a problem so we may be still to see higher interest rates in the short term. Why am I bringing this up as a message? Well it’s really important because at the moment our mortgage costs have been higher than they have been for many many years.

It’s too often I see households which don’t take action. They just accept the current status quo and pay the higher interest rates and pay those higher repayments to their lenders.

Well, I’m here to tell you that if you do ask the question, there are potentially thousands of dollars in interest savings available to you. By way of example, just in the last 12 months alone, our award-winning mortgage broking team has saved over $3.5 million in interest costs.

So again, you’ve got to ask the question.

Now, what I am saying in terms of what’s happening from a competitive environment in the mortgage space is number one; there are still cashback offers available in the space. Now, what does that mean? Well, it means you could be reversing maybe one or two interest rate rises with several thousands of dollars in cash back.

In addition to that, we’re seeing super competitive interest rates. So we do know in the industry, we call it a loyalty tax. So if you’ve been with the land for, say, two or three years, you’re often paying higher interest rates than new customers pay for that exact same bank product. So it’s really important that you continue to keep shopping around.

And finally, one of the latest developments in this space is around refinancing – if you’re trapped in mortgage prison. So you may have gone back to your current lender and they said, look, there’s nothing we can do. And you’re thinking you can’t move because maybe six months ago you spoke to another lender and they said no. Well, there are recent developments around how servicing calculators can be worked around to allow you to refinance from your existing lender. We call that mortgage prison into a new, cheaper line. So even that is worth asking the question from your broker.

 

Now, if you don’t have a broker or if you’re not happy with your broker, we are definitely putting our hands up here at Empower Wealth, which is our award-winning mortgage brokerage team.

And we are saying to you, let us be that. Ask the question through us. Our services are completely free of charge to you. So what are you waiting for? You’ve got everything to gain and very little to lose. Let us do all the work for you in terms of hunting down a better deal. And if we can’t get a better deal, you haven’t lost anything other than just asking the question.

So if you’re interested in asking the question, all you need to do is fill in your details below and we’ll be in contact with you shortly.

Let’s go out there and chase down a better deal. That money is worth more to you than it is to the bank. Let’s go on and hunt, and find that money for you.

Free Mortgage Review

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